ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary: Breakout The Stock Market Summary The AI crash from July 29th feels like a distant memory. The subsequent breakout to all-time highs quickly erased the sting and returned the market to a rally that knows no obstacles. Now, market breadth has broken out and further confirmed the market’s underlying bullishness. Various … Read more
In April I launched PAIROS, the Panic AI Research On Software, to provide a structured approach for assessing my (contrarian) investment thesis in software companies heavily impacted by the SaaSpocalypse. Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) first emerged as a high conviction pick after the company’s release of its agentic AI platform called Rovo and next after a related PAIROS … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: AI Rebound The Stock Market Summary The stock market rapidly transitioned from an AI crash to all-time highs in less than one week. Strong earnings revived the AI trade, software joined the advance, and the major indices pushed back toward their all-time highs. Momentum faded in the middle of the week … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: AI Crash The Stock Market Summary First, technology cracked and next the AI trade crashed. The crash is not obvious because the stock market absorbed the crash quickly and, perhaps most importantly, many AI trades are still up significantly for the year despite trading down 30%, 40%, 50% and more from … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Indices Last week, retail and software stocks ignited, and the usual AI-related suspects also participated in the rally. Yet the advance unfolded beneath persistently weak market breadth, leaving a notable disconnect between price action and participation. The software rally is particularly interesting and gratifying to me given I … Read more