ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary High tech stocks keep winning as AI leadership carries the sector and the headline indices, but market breadth keeps failing including a steep downtrend all month. In the prior week, the AI trade hit a short speed bump on AI safety concerns, but last week’s rally confirmed … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: Punished The Stock Market Summary The Federal Reserve actually did it. America’s central bank channeled Kevin Warsh’s previous jawboning into an actual rate hike. The Fed’s first such move since 2023 was well-priced by the Fed fund futures market, but the stock market was initially caught off-guard. The rate hike punished … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: Breakout The Stock Market Summary The AI crash from July 29th feels like a distant memory. The subsequent breakout to all-time highs quickly erased the sting and returned the market to a rally that knows no obstacles. Now, market breadth has broken out and further confirmed the market’s underlying bullishness. Various … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: AI Rebound The Stock Market Summary The stock market rapidly transitioned from an AI crash to all-time highs in less than one week. Strong earnings revived the AI trade, software joined the advance, and the major indices pushed back toward their all-time highs. Momentum faded in the middle of the week … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary I focused on two major developments during the past week of trading: the reemergence of oil and the skittishness of the AI trade. The resumption of the war against Iran nudged oil higher after multiple attacks against oil tankers had already brought an end to oil’s weeks-long … Read more