ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary: Breakout The Stock Market Summary The AI crash from July 29th feels like a distant memory. The subsequent breakout to all-time highs quickly erased the sting and returned the market to a rally that knows no obstacles. Now, market breadth has broken out and further confirmed the market’s underlying bullishness. Various … Read more
In April I launched PAIROS, the Panic AI Research On Software, to provide a structured approach for assessing my (contrarian) investment thesis in software companies heavily impacted by the SaaSpocalypse. Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) first emerged as a high conviction pick after the company’s release of its agentic AI platform called Rovo and next after a related PAIROS … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: AI Rebound The Stock Market Summary The stock market rapidly transitioned from an AI crash to all-time highs in less than one week. Strong earnings revived the AI trade, software joined the advance, and the major indices pushed back toward their all-time highs. Momentum faded in the middle of the week … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: AI Crash The Stock Market Summary First, technology cracked and next the AI trade crashed. The crash is not obvious because the stock market absorbed the crash quickly and, perhaps most importantly, many AI trades are still up significantly for the year despite trading down 30%, 40%, 50% and more from … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary I focused on two major developments during the past week of trading: the reemergence of oil and the skittishness of the AI trade. The resumption of the war against Iran nudged oil higher after multiple attacks against oil tankers had already brought an end to oil’s weeks-long … Read more