What Happened In the Housing Market – Clinging to A Cliff

What Happened to the Housing Market

Housing Market Intro and Summary The housing market again seemed to tell a tale of divergent markets between new and existing homes. While new home sales and starts fared well, a large setback in builder sentiment sets the stage for setbacks in April’s new home sales. Existing home sales completely erased the wistful optimism from … Read more

The Bearish Signal I Want to Dismiss – The Market Breadth

A Bearish Signal I Want to Dismiss - The Market Breadth

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Last week was bullish, and yet the bearish signal that bothered me early in the year returned. Market breadth flashed bearish even as the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ broke out to all-time highs. This bearish divergence is exactly the setup I did not want to see. The … Read more

What Happened in the Housing Market – Spring Cleaning

What Happened to the Housing Market

Housing Market Intro and Summary The housing market is entering its spring selling season, but for me this moment is more about spring cleaning. The seasonal trade in home builders and housing-related optimism has run its course far sooner and far weaker than I expected. What should have been a period of improving momentum has … Read more

No Place to Hide As War Drives Oversold Conditions – The Market Breadth

no place to hide as war drives oversold conditions - the market breadth

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary A week ago, I claimed that the stock market was all about oil. Now the stock market is all about war. Oil prices are up because of the war by the U.S. and Israel against Iran. An even larger issue is the cascade of impacts from an escalating … Read more

Market Fears Expand: War, Soaring Oil, Lost Jobs, AI Tops Out – The Market Breadth

volatility index (VIX)

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Market fears expanded last week as converging headwinds took their toll on a market that insists on buying every dip. The best example of buying persistence came with the market’s first regular trading session after the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran. The S&P 500 gapped down at Monday’s … Read more