ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary Damage from the AI trade drove the NASDAQ to its worst weekly decline since June. A convergence of events and headlines has brought the market to another critical juncture, this time in the last of the stock market’s most dangerous months of the year. The renewed tech … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary The stock market tentatively moved away from oversold’s edge. While small caps clung to critical support, the equal weight S&P 500 rallied most of the week and even ended its primary downtrend. The supportive moves prevented market breadth from revisiting the prior week’s lows even as the … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: Punished The Stock Market Summary The Federal Reserve actually did it. America’s central bank channeled Kevin Warsh’s previous jawboning into an actual rate hike. The Fed’s first such move since 2023 was well-priced by the Fed fund futures market, but the stock market was initially caught off-guard. The rate hike punished … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: Latest Warning The Stock Market Summary Rising oil prices dominated the trading backdrop last week. Soaring oil prices helped emphasize inflation fears and bolstered higher bond yields (rates). While the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ survived tests of critical support thanks in large part to strong rebounds in AI-related stocks, small … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: Nearly Broke The Stock Market Summary I am surprised that the stock market ended the week as well as it did given that early in the week rising interest rates nearly broke market breadth. Rising treasury yields followed higher oil prices and a worldwide sell-off in sovereign debt. The benchmark U.S. … Read more