ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary Small cap stocks led a market breadth breakout, then faded just short of overbought, leaving me encouraged by momentum but wary of a near-term pullback. The S&P 500 ground to fresh highs, while the NASDAQ lagged by stalling at prior peaks. A clean breakout still awaits for the NASDAQ. CES-driven leadership … Read more
Stock Market Analysis Summary Stock market indices, including the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Russell 2000, staged sharp recoveries, breaking key resistance levels as holiday spirits fueled by revived rate cut hopes apparently helped to heal a cracked stock market. Market breadth expanded sharply, with the percentage of stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages (AT50) … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The month of August featured three distinctly strong expansions of market breadth. The last expansion featured the largest single-day expansion I have ever seen. In between these episodes, the market showed signs of exhaustion. The latest exhaustion is centered on the AI trade. NVDA earnings slightly disappointed and included slowing revenue growth … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The stock market transitioned from a nervous calm to a confident calm. The NASDAQ and S&P 500 hit fresh all-time highs faster than I could have expected during the depths of the tariff drama, trauma, and noise. Nvidia (NVDA) led the way with a mid-week breakout to all-time highs. The market’s confident calm … Read more
Stock Market Commentary In just three months, the stock market has transformed from fragile to fearless. Friday’s return to overbought territory, on the heels of another jobs report that beat “consensus expectations”, underlined the market’s fearless bullishness. The jobs report made imminent rate cuts even less likely. Along with that prospect, bond yields nudged higher … Read more