ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary: Punished The Stock Market Summary The Federal Reserve actually did it. America’s central bank channeled Kevin Warsh’s previous jawboning into an actual rate hike. The Fed’s first such move since 2023 was well-priced by the Fed fund futures market, but the stock market was initially caught off-guard. The rate hike punished … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: Broke Sharply The Stock Market Summary The S&P 500 rose fractionally for the week and hid some large market catalysts under the surface. Market breadth broke sharply from the S&P 500 with a large loss and return to the bottom of a trading range. A bearish breakdown in small caps provided … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary There are no dips allowed in this stock market. A week ago, I labelled the trading environment as “buy-the-dips” because of the psychology of post-oversold trading. Those dips turned out to be hard to find. Only day traders could notice any weakness in the price action. The stock … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary The major indices closed marginally lower for the week, but market conditions deteriorated notably beneath the surface as the AI panic continued to weigh on stocks. The week started off with broad-based selling in the wake of an AI doomsday post from a little known research group called … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary I am risk off in the coming week because market breadth failed twice at the overbought level. One failure is enough to make me cautious, but two tells me that the market is fighting too hard just to go higher. Moreover, earnings season is in full swing. For … Read more